Tulsa Election 2024: June 2024 Archives

While I reserve the right to change my mind, here are the candidates I am currently inclined to support in the Tulsa general election and Oklahoma runoff election on August 27, 2024.

Between now and the election, I will be keeping an eye out on PAC donations and looking deeper into consulting companies. With so many establishment candidates having lost in the primaries, special-interest PAC money is going to be flowing somewhere, and we'll find out which candidates can resist their siren songs.

Political observers have a 40/5 rule of thumb: A candidate that gets over 40 percent in the primary and has at least a 5 point margin over the second-place candidate is almost certain to win the runoff. There have been exceptions, but it generally holds true. In Senate District 33 (Christi Gillespie 44%, Shelley Gwartney 25%), the first-place finisher could likely win just by turning out her voters in August, while the second-place finisher has to get her own people to the polls, plus those who supported the eliminated candidates, a big hill to climb. House District 32 (Jim Shaw 46%, Kevin Wallace 42%) could go either way by the 40/5 rule, but an incumbent who finishes second in a primary is unlikely to prevail in the runoff.

In Tulsa Council districts 5 and 6, there aren't any candidates I can get excited about, but differences over managing the police department and cooperation with ICE might tip the scales one way or another. In 2 and 9, there are multiple interesting possibilities. In 3, I don't know enough about the two candidates. (UPDATE 2024/07/25: I've added recommendations in Districts 2, 3, 5, 6, and 9. In 5 and 6, it came down to "better than the alternative." Where possible, I'd like to avoid having more councilors who have spent most of their career in the non-profit world.)

Only the Tulsa mayor's race and council districts 2, 7, and 9 will be on the August 27 ballot, because there are three or more candidates. The remaining council districts will be settled on November 5. CORRECTION: All of the council seats will be on the August 27 ballot, and any two-candidate race will be settled then. This is in contrast to school board seats, where the law was changed a few years ago so that a two-candidate race is settled on what used to be the school-board runoff date in April.

In District 4, I got to know Aaron Griffith many years ago in the Midtown Coalition of Neighborhood Associations. He's to my left politically, but he has a thick skin and is willing to endure the slings and arrows to stand up for what he believes is right. Aaron is strongly pro-neighborhood, has been a vocal critic of administrative shenanigans at Tulsa Public Schools, and he supports enforcing our immigration laws.

In District 7, I know Eddie Huff through his years as a conservative radio talk host at KFAQ. Margie Alfonso has been an important contributor to conservative politics over the years, but Eddie is better suited to winning a November runoff and serving, but he'll need enough GOP turnout to force a November runoff.

Chris Cone spoke to a Republican group about his vision for the job and his concerns about District 8. He was very impressive, and it will be good to have someone on the Council who is not beholden to the big foundations, knows something of the real world, and does more than pay lip service to his Christian faith. In District 1, I have not met Angela Chambers in person yet, but I see her very positive posts about life and entrepreneurship, and she seems like she will be a great improvement over the incumbent.

Brent VanNorman switched from the Council District 9 race to the mayor's race, and he looks like the best chance to get a conservative in the mayor's office for the first time since Dick Crawford and Jim Inhofe almost 40 years ago. He has the resources to run a strong race, but he needs to draw enough GOP turnout in the August 27 election to force a November runoff.

Tulsa City Elections:

Mayor: Brent VanNorman
Council District 1: Angela K. Chambers
Council District 2: Aaron Bisogno
Council District 3: Susan Frederick
Council District 4: Aaron Griffith
Council District 5: Karen Gilbert (very reluctantly)
Council District 6: Christian Bengel (unenthusiastically)
Council District 7: Eddie Huff
Council District 8: Chris Cone
Council District 9: Jayme Fowler

Oklahoma runoff:

Senate 3: Julie McIntosh
Senate 15: Lisa Standridge
Senate 33: Undecided
Senate 47: Undecided

House 20: Jonathan Wilk
House 32: Jim Shaw
House 50: Stacy Jo Adams
House 53: Undecided
House 60: Ron Lynch
House 98: Gabe Woolley

Tulsa County Commissioner District 2:

Republican runoff: Melissa Myers
Democrat runoff: Maria Barnes

Polls will be open for in-person voting on Tuesday, June 18, 2024, from 7 a.m. until 7 p.m.

NOTE: Precinct boundaries, voting locations, and district boundaries have changed significantly since the 2020 elections. Enter your name and date of birth on the Oklahoma State Election Board's online voter portal and you will see where to vote and your sample ballot.

UPDATE: Don't miss my final thoughts on the 2024 Oklahoma Republican Primary.

In response to popular demand, I have assembled the guidance detailed below into a downloadable, printable, single-page PDF.

Here are the candidates I'm recommending and (if in the district) voting for in the Oklahoma Republican primary elections on June 18, 2024. (This entry will change as I decide to add more detail, link previous articles, or discuss additional races between now and election day. The entry is post-dated to keep it at the top.)

As I post this, I'm still unsure about several races, but time is short, people are soon to vote, and many have asked for a summary of my recommendations. My most enthusiastic choices are in bold; in other races, there may be one or two other candidates that would be acceptable, or I simply don't know the endorsed candidate as well as I would like. There are certain incumbents that I'd like to see defeated, but I don't feel comfortable endorsing an opponent at this point. I'll try to fill in TBDs and NOTs before the start of early voting.

One race in particular, SD 33, was a tough choice; I've endorsed each of the three candidates who have run in previous elections (Tim Brooks, Shelley Gwartney, Christi Gillespie), and I've known the fourth, Bill Bickerstaff, for many years and know him as a principled conservative who has been quick to volunteer for other candidates and who has been a key member of the Tulsa Beacon team. I watched the GOP forum, and I believe Brooks is best prepared to be an effective legislator who will follow in the footsteps of Nathan Dahm and Jason Murphey, who won't be lured into the capitol favor factory. But any of the four candidates should be very good legislators.

1st Congressional District: Kevin Hern.
2nd Congressional District: Josh Brecheen renominated without opposition.
3rd Congressional District: NOT Frank Lucas
4th Congressional District: NOT Tom Cole and NOT Paul Bondar
5th Congressional District: Stephanie Bice was renominated without opposition

Corporation Commissioner: Russell Ray

State Senate 1: Micheal Bergstrom
State Senate 17: Shane Jett
State Senate 25: Brian Guthrie
State Senate 29: Wendi Stearman
State Senate 33: Tim Brooks
State Senate 37: Cody Rogers

State House 2: Jim Olsen
State House 10: Chad McCarthy
State House 23: Derrick Hildebrant
State House 25: Robert Burch
State House 28: Danny Williams
State House 38: Marven Goodman
State House 41: Denise Crosswhite Hader
State House 67: Rob Hall
State House 68: Jonathan Grable
State House 79: Paul Hassink
State House 98: Gabe Woolley
State House 100: Marilyn Stark

Tulsa County Commissioner District 2: Melissa Myers

Tulsa County Court Clerk Don Newberry and Sheriff Vic Regalado have been re-elected without opposition. County Clerk Michael Willis was renominated without opposition but will face Democrat Don Nuam in the general election.

MORE INFORMATION:

CANDIDATE FORUMS:

The Republican Party of Tulsa County Facebook page has video of the candidate forums it sponsored:

• Tulsa County Commission District 2
• Senate District 25 (moderated by yours truly)
• Senate District 33
• Senate District 37
• House District 67
• House District 68
• House District 79

OTHER CONSERVATIVE VOICES:

Here are some blogs, endorsement lists, candidate questionnaires, and sources of information for your consideration.

• Muskogee Politico news, questionnaires, and analysis
• Muskogee Politico primary picks
• OCPA Legislative Scorecard
• Oklahoma Conservative PAC meeting videos, including candidate speeches
• Oklahoma Constitution Index: Scores incumbent legislators on voting record
• iVoterGuide surveys of Oklahoma statewide, federal, and legislative candidates
• City Elders Tulsa speakers' videos, including candidate speeches
• Oklahomans for Life candidate surveys
• Oklahomans for the 2nd Amendment (OK2A) endorsements
• NRA-PVF endorsements
• Oklahomans for Health and Parental Rights (OKHPR) endorsements

ANTI-CONSERVATIVE VOICES:

Here are some endorsement lists that are negative indicators:

• Oklahomans for Public Education: OPE advocates for higher taxes, opposes school choice, and opposes efforts to keep leftist advocacy out of the classroom. They work to defeat principled Republicans. A yellow warning mark from OPE is a badge of honor for a conservative candidate.
• Oklahoma Rural Schools Coalition appears to be just another front for the leftist education establishment. The founder of the group, Erika Wright, opposed State Department of Education rules to keep obscene materials out of public school libraries and to keep parents informed of important mental health matters involving their children.

If you appreciate the many hours of research that went into this guide and into the rest of my election coverage, and if you'd like to help keep this site online, you can contribute to BatesLine's upkeep via PayPal. In addition to keeping me caffeinated, donated funds pay for web hosting, subscriptions, and paid databases I use for research. Many thanks to those generous readers who have already contributed.

UPDATE 2024/06/12: Here is the final list of candidates who filed for the 2024 City of Tulsa elections. Happily, every seat is contested except auditor. Nathan Pickard was on the auditor's staff and will do a great job.

The state, county, federal primary is a week earlier this year than 2022, and pre-primary campaign contribution reports were due Monday, and amidst the final week of primary campaigning -- it's the City of Tulsa election filing period, and there's only one day left. Filing ends Wednesday, June 12, 2024, at 5 pm, at the Tulsa County Election Board.

The current list of candidates is on the Tulsa County Election Board website, and I've added it below with party voter registration of each candidate.

Two big news items: Jayme Fowler has decided to run for re-election after all, entering what was a crowded field attracted by what was an open seat, and Cathy (Criswell) Carter has decided not to run for re-election. Mayor, Auditor, District 2, and District 3 are open seats.

District 5 incumbent Grant Miller has not yet filed for re-election, but I'm hoping he will; Karen Gilbert was one of the rubber stamps installed in 2011. I'm happy to see Eddie Huff running in District 7 and Nathan Pickard running for City Auditor.

District 4 foul-mouthed harridan Democrat Laura Bellis really needs an opponent.

UPDATED with final day filings in italics.

MAYOR

CASEY BRADFORD, 32, Republican
KALEB HOOSIER, 34, Republican
JOHN JOLLEY, 62, Independent
KAREN KEITH, 70, Democrat
MONROE NICHOLS, 40, Democrat
PAUL TAY, 61, Independent
BRENT L. VanNORMAN, 64, Republican

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 1

ANGELA K. CHAMBERS, 53, TULSA
VANESSA HALL-HARPER, 52, Democrat

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 2

ANTHONY ARCHIE, 36, Republican
AARON L BISOGNO, 37, Republican
W.R. CASEY JR., 58, Democrat
STEPHANIE REISDORPH, 37, Republican
RHENE D RITTER, 54, Republican

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 3

JACKIE DUTTON, 64, Democrat
SUSAN FREDERICK, 62, Republican

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 4

LAURA BELLIS, 35, Democrat
AARON GRIFFITH, 49, Independent

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 5

ALICIA ANDREWS, 57, Democrat
KAREN GILBERT, 55, Republican

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 6

CHRISTIAN BENGEL, 56, Republican
URIAH I DAVIS, 35, Democrat

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 7

MARGIE ALFONSO, 89, Republican
EDDIE HUFF, 72, Republican
LORI DECTER WRIGHT, 49, Democrat

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 8

CHRIS CONE, 38, Republican
PHIL LAKIN, 56, Republican

COUNCILMEMBER - COUNCIL DISTRICT 9

CAROL BUSH, 63, Republican
LeeAnn CROSBY, 40, Democrat
JULIE DUNBAR, 54, Republican
JAYME FOWLER, 65, Republican
MATTHEW NELSON, 39, Independent

CITY AUDITOR

NATHAN PICKARD, 41, independent

Karen Keith is running for Mayor of Tulsa, and seven candidates are running to replace her as Tulsa County Commissioner for District 2, three Republicans, three Democrats, and one independent.

The three Republicans are Tulsa District 2 City Councilor Jeannie Cue (sister of Keith's predecessor Randi Miller), District 68 State Representative Lonnie Sims, and small business owner Melissa Myers. The three Democrats are former Tulsa District 4 City Councilor Maria Barnes, Karen Keith's chief deputy Jim Rea, and public relations agent Sarah Gray. Josh Turley, who was the Republican nominee in 2016 and 2020, is running as an independent this year.

In the Republican primary, I'm voting for Melissa Myers. She is a graduate of Berryhill High School, married with two children, and with her husband and another couple owns Christ Centered Lawn and Landscape. The company provided Christmas lighting this year for the rooflines of Sand Springs' historic downtown buildings.

While all three GOP candidates live within some city's limits, Myers lives in the Prattville section of Sand Springs, the closest of the Republican candidates to the large unincorporated regions of the district, where residents are entirely dependent upon county government for road maintenance and law enforcement.

Myers has been endorsed by Oklahomans for the Second Amendment (OK2A) and Oklahomans for Health and Parental Rights. KRMG's Russell Mills interviewed Melissa Myers in February after she announced her candidacy.

Myers got her political feet wet when she advocated for keeping at least part of the Gilcrease Turnpike free. While she wasn't successful in the effort, it gave her experience in the conflict between local needs and the priorities of government agencies. One of Myers's priorities is transparency in the county commissioner's office and the operations of the budget board.

As a city councilor, Jeannie Cue devotes a great deal of time to being attentive to the needs of the neighborhoods in her district, and I'm sure that would carry over to the County Commission. Where she falls short is as a watchdog.

(Here is Jeannie Cue's interview with KRMG.)

A prime example is when the Tulsa City Council approved federal COVID recovery grant money to fund a sex survey targeting teenagers as young as 15. When I raised the issue at a meeting of the Tulsa Area Republican Assembly where Cue was present, she was very concerned to hear that the survey was being promoted on the Tulsa Parks Facebook page, and she made some phone calls the following day, resulting in the deletion of the Tulsa Parks Facebook post. She was kind enough to follow up with me as well.

Here's the problem: Jeannie Cue was a member of the four-member council committee (with Phil Lakin, Lori Decter Wright, and Vanessa Hall Harper) that "vetted" the non-profit applications, including that of Amplify Tulsa. She had the opportunity to flag this grant as a misuse of public money, particularly money intended to help Tulsans recover from the COVID shutdowns, but there's no indication that she raised an objection. Her shocked reaction when I discussed the grant at the TARA meeting suggests that she didn't exercise due care and attention when it had been before the committee.

When we elect someone to a seat at the table in government, it's reasonable to expect her to use her position to investigate and scrutinize government on our behalf, through the lens of the priorities and values of the voters who elected her. Councilor Cue has demonstrated that she's not very good at that.

The third Republican candidate is State Rep. Lonnie Sims, whose House district covers much of the County Commission district west of the Arkansas River. Sims is the big-money candidate in the race, and he has an abysmal voting record at the State Capitol. In the Oklahoma Constitution's Conservative Index of 10 key votes for the 2023 legislative session, Sims scored 40%, a failing grade, and his career average was 61%, reflecting his support for corporate welfare. (Does a billionaire-owned NBA team really need special tax breaks?) Sims has a lifetime average of 59% on OCPA's Legislative Scorecard, which records Sims's support for the interests of tribal officials over the general public and his backing of bills to undermine Oklahoma's anti-SLAPP law. He's using the same campaign consultants that are supporting Democrat Karen Keith's bid for mayor.

I encourage Democrats in Commission District 2 to vote for Maria Barnes. As a city councilor for four years in my district, Barnes represented the interests of homeowners and neighborhoods over special interests; that's why she was targeted for defeat in 2008 and again in 2011, by means of big money and (in 2011) Dewey Bartlett Jr's gerrymander. I've described her as a neighborhood servant whose years in the trenches with the Kendall-Whittier Neighborhood Association and the Midtown Coalition of Neighborhood Associations shaped her into an effective elected official, a true public servant. Although we disagree on many national political issues, Maria and I share many concerns about the way local government bodies treat their citizens. I appreciate her frankness. She's willing to take a principled stand and not back down under pressure. As a county commissioner, she would not be anyone's fool.

Jim Rea, Karen Keith's chief deputy, bought a house in the district barely in time to meet the six-month residency requirement, and his candidacy was challenged by his Democrat opponents on the basis that ownership alone doesn't constitute residency. The state law defining residence is fairly loose, so the county election board had to allow him to remain on the ballot, but voters may and should take his short tenure in the district into account. Rea's LinkedIn profile indicates that he's only been back in Tulsa for about five years, serving for the last two as Keith's chief deputy.

Sarah Gray's website gives the impression that she's a caring person who doesn't understand the duties and powers of the office she seeks.

BatesLine endorsed Josh Turley during his two attempts to unseat Karen Keith. Turley has a doctorate in organizational leadership, had a distinguished 24-year career at the Tulsa County Sheriff's Office, serving as the TCSO's first civilian crime scene investigator and developing the department's first Risk Management program, which succeeded in reducing car accidents involving deputies and tort claim payouts. Turley independently developed policies and procedures to be used by smaller sheriff's offices and county jails to improve performance and minimize risk. As an independent candidate, Turley will not be on the ballot until November.

Here are the campaign finance reports filed by the candidates to date with the Tulsa County Election Board. Note that only Sims and Rea filed the pre-primary contributions and expenditures report that was due yesterday. Cue and Myers filed contributions and expenditures reports covering the first quarter of 2024. Barnes and Gray have yet to file a contributions and expenditures report.

• Jeannie Cue: Statement of Organization, Continuing Report of Contributions
• Melissa Myers: Statement of Organization, Contributions and Expenditures
• Lonnie Sims: Statement of Organization, Contributions and Expenditures
• Maria Barnes: Statement of Organization
• Sarah Gray: Statement of Organization
• Jim Rea: Statement of Organization, Contributions and Expenditures

MORE: Cheryl Wilburg recorded and posted most of the county commissioner debate sponsored by the Tulsa County GOP, after the live feed started having problems.